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Long Tailed Fish Swimming East

by admin on May 6, 2012 · 1 Comments

Markets adjust.  There are perhaps few better examples of that adage than the crude oil and natural gas markets.  One way of looking at how these two markets adjust is through the rotary rig count.  Baker Hughes keeps track of the number of active drilling rigs in the US (and also internationally). Since July 1987, [...]

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Crude Oil and Natural Gas Move to Different Hemispheres

by admin on April 17, 2012 · 0 Comments

On December 16, 2011, we looked at the relationship between natural gas and crude oil prices (see “Crude Oil and Natural Gas Get a Divorce” here).  We looked at how historically, on an energy equivalent basis ($/mmBtu), crude oil (West Texas Intermediate at Cushing, Oklahoma) traded at about a 50% premium to natural gas at [...]

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Avalon Energy Services Completes New Energy Supply Contracts on Behalf of Clarion Partners

by admin on April 15, 2012 · 0 Comments

Avalon Energy Services recently completed an electricity procurement process for five properties in Washington, DC owned by Clarion Partners, LLC. Under the new supply contracts, the five buildings will pay 27% less, in aggregate, than what they currently pay under existing contracts.  Avalon Energy Services’ press release related to this was picked up by a [...]

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Natural Gas Prices Continue to March Down

by admin on April 6, 2012 · 0 Comments

March is the last month of the five month winter heating season.  As of March 30, the level of US working gas in storage was 2,479 BCF.  This is an increase during a time of the year when natural gas is historically withdrawn from storage, not injected.  The March 30 level is 927 BCF, or [...]

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Energy Prices Always Go Up (continued)

by admin on April 1, 2012 · 0 Comments

As discussed on this blog, there is a common perception that energy prices have been, and continue to be, on a one way path upwards.  In previous posts we focused on natural gas and showed that rather than rising, natural gas prices have, in fact, fallen dramatically, over both the short run and the long [...]

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OFO (No Room at the Inn)

by admin on March 19, 2012 · 1 Comments

Huh? What does OFO mean? First, a step back. The US natural gas pipeline and distribution system can be thought of as a large container with producers injecting natural gas (supply) and customers withdrawing natural gas (demand).  Last year, during 2011, the US consumed 24.4 trillion cubic feet (TCF ) of natural gas, or, on [...]

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Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)

by admin on February 15, 2012 · 1 Comments

The development of a liquefied natural gas export trade was identified in a previous article as an influence that would put upward pressure on natural gas prices. To follow is an overview of where the US liquefied natural gas markets have been and where they may be headed. But first, what is liquefied natural gas? [...]

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How Low Can They Go?

by admin on February 5, 2012 · 1 Comments

How low can natural gas prices go? We may find out soon. First some background. US natural gas demand varies considerably over the course of a year, driven primarily by natural gas usage related to heating. During peak winter months, natural gas demand exceeds the production capacity of North American natural gas wells. Natural gas [...]

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Natural Gas Price Drivers

by admin on January 25, 2012 · 1 Comments

We have noted previously on this blog that natural gas prices have declined dramatically over the last three years. On January 19, 2012 the February futures contract settled at $2.32 per million Btus. This is lower than natural gas prices have been in a decade and we are in the winter heating season, a time [...]

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Cape Wind

by admin on January 18, 2012 · 1 Comments

It was recently reported that a power purchase agreement between National Grid and Cape Wind was approved by the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court. National Grid is committed to purchasing half of the output of the project at a starting price of 18.7 cents per kilowatt-hour. This price will then escalate 3.5% per year for 15 [...]

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